Navigant: Global wind capacity value expected to increase 10X over decade
Friday January 31, 2020 0 comments
BOULDER -- The global wind power industry is expected to install more than 626,800 MW of new capacity over the next decade, representing a market worth more than $92 billion in 2019 and more than $1 trillion over the forecast decade, according to a new report from Navigant Research.
The report analyzes the global wind power market to assess current and future development cycles and projections for new installed wind capacity. The report provides global market forecasts, segmented by region, through 2028.
Global wind industry installations were flat from 2017 to 2018, but behind the flat figures are profound shifts throughout global wind power markets.
Some mature markets are facing flat or declining growth due to adjustments to more competitive policy environments and reductions or eliminations of subsidies.
However, these changes are being offset by increasing wind power development in countries that were not previously wind power markets, the report notes.
“Growth in wind capacity is led by countries in Asia Pacific and non-traditional markets in Europe, Latin America, and the Middle East & Africa,” said Jesse Broehl, Navigant senior research analyst.
“Wind power is being developed not only in a greater variety of countries but also increasingly in offshore as well as onshore.”
According to the report, global offshore wind development is expected to experience a 16% compound annual growth rate over a 10-year forecast period.
China, Taiwan, and Europe are the leading markets, with the US soon to join when the first large-scale offshore wind plants are commissioned in coming years along the northeast coast of the country.
The report also examines the annual installed capacity of top global wind turbine original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and related market share and ranking.
The most recent year-end 2018 data shows Denmark-based Vestas retaking the global total annual capacity lead and three other Western OEMs falling in the global total annual rankings.
The turbine OEM market dynamics show consolidation throughout the sector, with top OEMs commanding larger market shares.
The report, Global Wind Energy Overview, analyzes the global wind power market to assess current and future development cycles and projections for new installed wind capacity. The study provides an analysis of the market issues related to wind development, including drivers and barriers such as power contract auction rates, volume, and related policy and market environments.
Global market forecasts, segmented by region, extend through 2028. The report also summarizes the key industry players related to wind power development.
An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant website.