Navigant: Global capacity of DER to grow from 132 GW to 528 GW by 2026

Thursday December 21, 2017 0 comments Tags: Boulder, Navigant Research, distributed energy resources, Roberto Labastida

BOULDER -- Global distributed energy resource (DER) capacity is expected to grow from 132.4 GW in 2017 to 528.4 GW in 2026, according to a new report from Navigant Research.

The report examines the global market for DER technologies, providing forecasts for installed capacity and revenue in the commercial and industrial (C&I) and residential segments, through 2026.NavigantNEWlogoUSE

Technology advances, business model innovation, changing regulations, and sustainability and resilience concerns have brought DER into the core of the future deployment of energy infrastructure.

Encompassing a broad set of solutions that include systems and technologies designed to operate closer to customers on the electricity grid, the global proliferation of DER has begun to have a significant -- and at times controversial -- influence on the electricity industry. 

“For countries and regions that started their energy transition early, the role of distributed generation technologies will be less while the technologies that help integrate this generation will play a key role in the deployment of DER infrastructure over the forecast period,” said Roberto Rodriguez Labastida, Navigant senior research analyst.

“In this realm, when and how the electrification of transport happens will have a significant impact on the development of DER deployments.”

The influence of increasing DER deployments will vary in different countries and regions due to the existing and planned additions of centralized generation, according to the report.

However – globally -- distributed generation is expected to lead DER installations in 2017, and electric vehicle charging and flexibility technologies, such as demand response and energy storage, are expected to outpace competing solutions in the next decade.

The reportGlobal DER Deployment Forecast Database, provides a quantitative analysis of the global market for DER technologies and assesses the major market developments and technology trends.

Technologies covered include distributed solar PV (<1 MW), small and medium wind turbines (<500 kW), microturbines, fuel cells, diesel and natural gas generator sets (<6 MW), distributed energy storage systems, microgrids, EV charging, demand response, and energy efficiency.

Installed capacity and revenue forecasts in the commercial and industrial (C&I) and residential segments extend through 2026. The report also provides a comparison of DER and conventional generation deployments during the next decade.

An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.